Workshop Description
Full-day workshop on quantum-enhanced demand forecasting for logistics. Covers eight algorithm approaches including VQCs, quantum kernels, QBMs, and amplitude estimation applied to SKU-level demand planning, safety stock, and promotional uplift modelling.
Logistics demand forecasting at SKU level involves hundreds of correlated features: promotional calendars, weather, competitor pricing, supplier lead times, and seasonal patterns that shift year to year. Classical methods (ARIMA, Prophet, gradient boosting) handle many of these well, but certain problem structures may benefit from quantum approaches. This workshop examines eight specific quantum algorithms and how they map to forecasting sub-problems. Quantum kernel methods (Havlicek et al. 2019) can detect non-linear seasonal patterns in high-dimensional feature spaces. Variational quantum circuits produce probabilistic demand distributions rather than point forecasts. Quantum Boltzmann machines generate synthetic demand scenarios for stress testing. Amplitude estimation quantifies tail risks for safety stock calculations. Each approach is benchmarked against classical baselines with explicit accuracy comparisons, and participants work through a hands-on model build using PennyLane. Current NISQ hardware limits circuit depth to roughly 100 qubits with meaningful noise, so the workshop is honest about which approaches are research-stage versus near-term deployable.
What participants cover
- Eight quantum forecasting algorithms: VQCs, quantum kernels, QBMs, amplitude estimation, quantum annealing for feature selection, tensor networks, QAOA for demand segmentation, and HHL for state-space models
- Feature engineering for quantum models: amplitude encoding, angle encoding, and dimensionality reduction for logistics datasets with hundreds of variables
- Hybrid classical-quantum pipeline design: classical preprocessing paired with quantum model layers for production integration
- Benchmarking methodology: comparing quantum forecasting accuracy against ARIMA, Prophet, and gradient-boosted baselines on matched datasets
- NISQ hardware constraints: circuit depth limits, barren plateaus (Cerezo et al. 2021), and noise impact on forecast reliability
- Quantum-inspired classical alternatives: tensor network models and simulated annealing that deliver competitive accuracy on current GPU hardware